Saturday TV Match Preview

The weekend before Christmas, and with no Sunday games, there are three live matches on Saturday. Everton take on Chelsea in the early game, followed by sixth-placed Burnley hosting seventh-placed Tottenham, and concluding with Leicester hosting Manchester United. Our Analyst previews the action, producing the best bets for each match.


Everton vs Chelsea – SAT 12.30pm

The in-form Everton host Chelsea in the day’s opening game, looking for their fifth win in six matches. They deservedly beat Swansea on Monday night, creating plenty of chances in the process, something they have been doing more regularly of late. More impressively though, they have conceded very few chances since Sam Allardyce took charge (five league matches), conceding less than 1 xG per game – a huge improvement on their early season performances. They will continue to be tough to break down.

Chelsea did just enough to beat Southampton in their last game, but once again weren’t impressive, creating few chances. Their performances continue to be inconsistent, and this is something they need to work on. This is expected to be a tight game, with two good defensive teams clashing, so few goals are anticipated.

SelectionUnder 2.5 goals @ 4/5


Burnley vs Tottenham – SAT 17.30pm

Burnley’s incredible start to the season continued with a goalless draw against Brighton last weekend, meaning they sit sixth in the table after 18 matches. They have been fortunate to have won as many points as they have so far, based on performances, as their process has been poor according to expected goals.

Tottenham come into this game on the back of a thrashing from Manchester City last weekend, a 4-1 defeat in which they conceded a host of chances (4.2 xG), their worst defensive performance of the season to date. They are below today’s opponents after that result, and are now three points outside the top four. They need to bounce back, but this is expected to be difficult in what should be a tight, low-scoring match.

SelectionUnder 2.5 goals @ 8/11


Leicester vs Manchester United – SAT 19.45pm

Leicester’s four match winning run was brought to an emphatic end by Crystal Palace last weekend, a game in which they were out-played and looked vulnerable in defence. They continue to create good chances, but also concede them, so are a very entertaining team to watch.

Manchester United have bounced back well from their defeat in the Manchester derby, winning their last two league games against Bournemouth and West Brom. They were slightly fortunate to get the three points against West Brom, scoring two goals from low-quality chances (0.8 xG). The return of Paul Pogba may make a much needed difference in this match, one in which both teams are expected to get on the scoresheet.

SelectionBTTS @ 4/5


Recent blog entries