Ponte Preta vs Vitoria Match Preview
The big game in Brazil this week takes place at the bottom of the table, as fourth bottom Ponte Preta take on fifth bottom Vitoria. Just one point separates these two teams, with both in real danger of being relegated with just two games left. Infogol’s Analyst previews the crucial game, using underlying stats to produce the best bets.
Ponte Preta find themselves in the relegation places after a run of just three wins in 15 matches. They were beaten by Fluminense last time out in a game which they struggled to generate any opportunities of note. They also conceded a host of chances in that game (4 xG) in what was their worst defensive performance of the season to date.
They can count themselves a little unlucky to be in a relegation fight, as according to Infogol’s expected goals table they should be 15th instead of 17th. They need results now, and this is a great chance to get one over on their closer rivals.
Vitoria have won just one of their last 10 matches, meaning both teams come into this game in poor form. They drew with Cruzeiro last time out in a game in which both teams generated a host of chances. This happens a lot in Vitoria matches, as they both create and concede a lot of high-quality chances.
They too have underperformed this season according to Infogol’s expected table, with them sitting 7th instead of 16th. Vitoria know that a draw in this game isn’t the worst result, but a defeat would put them on the back foot heading into the final game.
Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5
Both of these teams have shown that they are capable of creating and conceding a lot of chances, and this should contribute to a high-scoring game – which looks good value.