La Liga GW1 Review
Using expected goals (xG), Infogol’s Analyst takes a look at the opening weekend’s action, assessing performances and not just results to paint a clearer picture of the week’s matches, including selecting a Team to Back.
Actual vs Expected Goal (xG) totals La Liga GW1
Eibar got their campaign off to the best possible start with a 1-0 win away at Malaga, with former Malaga striker Charles getting the winner for his new club. This was the third most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend, as both teams generated a similar amount of chances and xG. A draw would have been a fair result, but Eibar go back to the Basque country with the three points.
Surprisingly, the second most ‘unfair’ result of the weekend was in Catalonia, as Girona drew 2-2 with Atletico Madrid. The home team were unfortunate not to take all three points after an impressive La Liga debut in which they caused last season’s best defence a lot of problems. The home team went 2-0 up through goals from Cristhian Stuani, before Antoine Griezmann saw red. Atleti scored two late goals to salvage a draw, but that was a harsh result on the home team who limited the visitors to just low-probability efforts. Girona definitely caught the eye in the opening weekend.
The most ‘unfair’ result of the opening game week in La Liga was Real Madrid’s 3-0 win over Deportivo, though the figures were increased due to Depor’s late penalty. Non-penalty xG would have this as a fair result, with Real Madrid generating chances at will and conceding few, but it was a decent display from Depor, who should really have got on the scoresheet before the penalty miss. Florin Andone was the main threat, and he was on the end of 70% of Deportivo’s xG (non-penalty).
Real just keep on winning
Leganes’ 1-0 win over Alaves was also seen as a slightly unfair result, but other than a missed penalty, Alaves didn’t threaten much. Getafe held Bilbao to a creditable goalless draw at San Mames, while a weaker-looking Barcelona team did enough to get past Real Betis (2-0) at the Nou Camp. Sevilla and Espanyol both missed a lot of chances in their 1-1 draw, while the same can’t be said for Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, who were involved in a five goal-thriller won by the away side Sociedad.
Levante’s 1-0 win over Villarreal and Valencia’s 1-0 home win over Las Palmas were the ‘fairest’ results of the weekend. Both were dominant throughout, conceding very few scoring opportunities.
GW2 Team to Back – Eibar
Eibar showed promising signs in their opening day victory over Malaga, creating high-quality chances rather than a lot of low-quality ones. They face Bilbao in GW2 who looked rather toothless in their opener against Getafe, and at a price of 15/8 look good value to edge this Basque derby.