Corinthians vs Palmeiras Match Preview

Corinthians lead the way in Brazil’s Serie A, but have seen a large lead be trimmed to just five points by their city rivals Palmeiras. This is undoubtedly the biggest game in Brazil this weekend, with a lot at stake, so our Analyst previews the game, producing the best bets.



Corinthians are winless in four matches, losing to Ponte Preta last weekend which was a result that saw their lead trimmed to touching distance for the chasing pack. Their performances have actually been impressive of late despite the poor results, and were unlucky to lose against Ponte Preta last time out.


They are creating high-quality chances on a regular basis of late, but unlike earlier in the season, they are failing to convert them. In their last 12 matches, they have generated 21 xG, but have scored just 8 in that time, with Infogol calculating just a 0.1% chance of this happening.


Corinthians have been very unlucky recently


In that 12 game period, they have conceded just 13 xG, showing how well they have been playing. If their performances stay to this level, the results will undoubtedly follow.



Palmeiras have put a good run together to reign in the leaders, putting a run of three wins and two draws together. They drew with Cruzeiro last weekend, though they were very unlucky not to win that game having generated a host of chances (3.2 xG).


In this five match run, they have created 11 xG and conceded just 6 xG, so they are performing almost exactly as expected. They can cause Corinthians plenty of problems with good attacking play, and they seem to have clicked in the latter part of the season.


Palmeiras saved their best form for the end of the season


Though they have been performing well in attack, they do look vulnerable in defence, and could be exposed in what should be a feisty derby Paulista.



These two teams are both performing well so a very competitive game is expected. They are both attacking very well so both teams are expected to get on the scoresheet. Corinthians have performed better over the season, and of late, so are fancied to get the three points.



Corinthians to win @ 7/5

BTTS @ Evens


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