Botafogo vs Flamengo - Betting Preview

Botafogo and Flamengo meet in the Clássico da Rivalidade on Sunday, with both teams coming into this game on the back of victories. An exciting and feisty derby encounter is expected, with Infogol’s Analyst using unique stats and data points to select the best bets.

 

Botafogo

Botafogo bounced back from defeat against Ponte Preta to get all three points against Bahia last time out, as they look to be finding some good form coming into the home stretch. They currently sit seventh in the table on goal difference, and a top six finish has to be their aim this season.

  

Their most impressive performances in recent games came in their 2-1 defeat to Ponte Preta, a game in which they put on their best attacking display of the season, generating 3.15 xG and only hitting the net once. They have improved in this capacity as the season has gone on, and now look a much greater threat going forward as their process as developed.

 

Botafogo’s process has improved

 

Though they have improved going forward, they still look vulnerable in defence, conceding 11.6 xG in their last six matches – an average of 1.93 xG against per game. This is something they will need to work on, especially coming up against a good attacking team in Flamengo.

 

Flamengo

Flamengo ended a run of three straight defeats with successive victories over Atletico Goianiense and Atletico Paranaense – both by a 2-0 score line. Those wins mean that they remain in touch with the top four, but they are still way behind the leaders.

 

Their two most recent wins have been impressive, not only for the result but for the performances as well. They were dominant in both games, creating a host of chances – 4.3 xG in total – suggesting that they too are finding good form at the right time.

 

Flamengo looking strong in attack

 

Flamengo do have the disadvantage of playing the first leg of the Copa do Brasil final on Friday, leaving them little recovery time ahead of this game, so could end up fielding a weaker-but-fresher team. Either way, they have a good chance of winning this game if they maintain the level of recent performances.

 

Conclusion

Flamengo come into this game with the better recent performances than their city rivals, and have definitely been the more consistent of the two throughout the season – so they are selected to get the win. Both have been creating good chances, so goals are expected, and a small bet on Flamengo to win and both teams to score at a bigger price is also selected.

 

Bets

Over 2.5 @ 6/5

Flamengo win @ 7/5

Flamengo win and BTTS @ 4/1

 

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